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DecisionsWhat CMI took or skippedPaper tracksForward tests and their limitsFunding carryCarry monitor and paper bookStrategyEvery rule and its testResults recordPublic, hash-chained recordReviewCharts of past tradesSystem statusData health and latencyHow to read CMISignals, badges and R explainedAbout CMIHow it works
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CMI

Tested trading rules, paper records and market intelligence for the most liquid crypto futures. CMI places no orders.

How to read CMIPrivacy

Risk disclosure. CMI publishes rule-based market information and trade plans. It is not investment advice and not a personal recommendation. Crypto futures are highly volatile; leverage magnifies losses and stops can fill at worse prices in fast markets. Signals marked paper preview come from rules still in their forward test. Past results do not predict future results. Trade only with money you can afford to lose.

Funding carry

When most futures traders are leveraged long, they pay a funding fee to the short side every 8 hours. Holding a coin on spot and shorting the same amount of its perpetual cancels the price move and collects that fee — no price prediction. The CY1b rule steps in when the 7-day average funding rises above 10 % a year and stays in until that average turns negative — so a coin can show “Carry ON” at a lower rate.

19 of 30 coins are in carry now.

CoinRule nowFunding, 7-day avg (a year)Carry yield at that rateLast funding (per 8 h)Last 12 monthsSince tracking began
CELOCarry ONsince 45 d ago+10.3%+8.3%+0.0100%+0.68%+0.02%
ZECCarry ONsince 3 d ago+9.8%+7.8%+0.0054%-0.75%-0.09%
FETCarry ONsince 15 d ago+9.1%+7.3%+0.0051%+0.24%0.00%
UNICarry ONsince 91 d ago+7.9%+6.3%+0.0100%+1.26%-0.02%
NEARCarry ONsince 55 d ago+7.9%+6.3%+0.0022%+0.36%-0.02%
ICPCarry ONsince 43 d ago+7.7%+6.2%+0.0100%+0.56%-0.02%
ALGOCarry ONsince 44 d ago+7.1%+5.7%+0.0069%+0.06%-0.04%
DASHCarry ONsince 95 d ago+6.8%+5.4%+0.0038%+0.94%-0.04%
FILCarry ONsince 44 d ago+6.1%+4.9%+0.0097%+0.19%-0.04%
LTCCarry ONsince 44 d ago+5.8%+4.7%-0.0007%-0.06%-0.05%
DOGECarry ONsince 44 d ago+5.7%+4.5%+0.0007%+0.13%-0.06%
AAVECarry ONsince 44 d ago+5.0%+4.0%+0.0067%+0.45%-0.06%
LINKCarry ONsince 52 d ago+5.0%+4.0%+0.0007%+0.23%-0.07%
SUICarry ONsince 44 d ago+4.8%+3.9%+0.0087%+0.11%-0.06%
ADACarry ONsince 65 d ago+4.3%+3.5%+0.0080%-0.31%-0.08%
XRPCarry ONsince 43 d ago+4.1%+3.3%-0.0009%+0.02%-0.07%
BNBCarry ONsince 46 d ago+3.9%+3.1%0.0000%-0.02%-0.08%
ETHCarry ONsince 43 d ago+3.1%+2.5%+0.0005%+0.30%-0.09%
XLMCarry ONsince 44 d ago+1.9%+1.6%+0.0030%+0.26%-0.10%
HBAROutsince 360 d ago+7.9%—+0.0100%-0.32%0.00%
CRVOutsince 156 d ago+7.4%—+0.0100%+0.04%0.00%
BCHOutsince 27 d ago+7.3%—+0.0008%-0.28%0.00%
AVAXOutsince 361 d ago+4.6%—-0.0122%-0.29%0.00%
SOLOutsince 37 d ago+3.1%—+0.0022%-0.26%0.00%
BTCOut+2.0%—-0.0012%0.00%0.00%
ARBOut-0.4%—-0.0023%0.00%0.00%
1000PEPEOutsince 4 d ago-6.4%—-0.0031%+0.09%-0.34%
QNTOutsince 8 d ago-104.1%—-0.0287%+0.20%0.00%
ONEOutsince 57 d ago-289.6%—-0.0962%+4.62%0.00%
NMROutsince 10 d ago-569.8%—-0.2040%+0.70%0.00%

Yields are on the capital of both legs (the short is 80 % of it), after spot and futures fees. Funding changes every 8 hours, so the yield at the current rate is not a forecast. Telegram sends one message when the rule switches a coin on or off.

Paper record

The rule on the 8 coins it was tested on, booked as if done with paper money: both legs bought and sold an hour after each switch, funding received or paid every settlement, taker fees, and the price gap between spot and futures that the test did not model. It is judged after 6 months against limits fixed before it started.

CY1b-v1 · since 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC · 10,000 USDT paper capital, 8 coins, equal shares · as of 2026-10-08 12:40 UTC

Result
-10.21 USDT (-0.10%)
Funding
+0.05
Fees
-10.20
Price gap, closed
0.00
Price gap, open
-0.06
Max drawdown
0.10%

By month: 2026-10 -0.10%

CoinPositionFundingFeesPrice gap, closedPrice gap, openResult (USDT)Short margin used
SOLOut0.000.000.000.000.00—
XRPHoldingsince 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC at 1.4971-0.14-1.700.00

How it was tested

Registered before any data was run, then judged once on 8 coins never used for it (2020 – Aug 2026): +7.9 % a year after costs, positive in 6 of 7 years, worst year −0.2 %. It is the first rule on this site to pass its test.

The catch: the money comes when the market is crowded and euphoric (2021 +29 %, 2024 +9 %). It has faded lately — 2025 +1.4 %, 2026 about 0 % — so most of the time the rule waits. The spot–futures price gap was not modelled; the paper record above measures it.

Information, not advice. Doing it needs both a spot and a futures account and capital on both legs; CMI places no orders. Full results on the strategy page and in the research log.

-0.07
-1.90
0%
BNBHoldingsince 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC at 778.8600.00-1.700.00+0.03-1.670%
DOGEHoldingsince 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC at 0.09380-0.09-1.700.00-0.11-1.900%
ADAHoldingsince 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC at 0.26720-0.08-1.700.00+0.37-1.400%
AVAXOut0.000.000.000.000.00—
LINKHoldingsince 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC at 14.020+0.19-1.700.00-0.14-1.660%
LTCHoldingsince 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC at 69.050+0.17-1.700.00-0.14-1.670%
Booked events (latest 30)
  • 2026-10-08 08:00 UTC · ADA · FUNDING 0.0080% → +0.08
  • 2026-10-08 08:00 UTC · BNB · FUNDING 0.0000% → 0.00
  • 2026-10-08 08:00 UTC · DOGE · FUNDING 0.0007% → +0.01
  • 2026-10-08 08:00 UTC · LINK · FUNDING 0.0007% → +0.01
  • 2026-10-08 08:00 UTC · LTC · FUNDING -0.0007% → -0.01
  • 2026-10-08 08:00 UTC · XRP · FUNDING -0.0009% → -0.01
  • 2026-10-08 00:00 UTC · ADA · FUNDING -0.0021% → -0.02
  • 2026-10-08 00:00 UTC · BNB · FUNDING 0.0000% → 0.00
  • 2026-10-08 00:00 UTC · DOGE · FUNDING 0.0016% → +0.02
  • 2026-10-08 00:00 UTC · LINK · FUNDING 0.0060% → +0.06
  • 2026-10-08 00:00 UTC · LTC · FUNDING 0.0021% → +0.02
  • 2026-10-08 00:00 UTC · XRP · FUNDING -0.0065% → -0.06
  • 2026-10-07 16:00 UTC · ADA · FUNDING -0.0022% → -0.02
  • 2026-10-07 16:00 UTC · BNB · FUNDING 0.0000% → 0.00
  • 2026-10-07 16:00 UTC · DOGE · FUNDING -0.0028% → -0.03
  • 2026-10-07 16:00 UTC · LINK · FUNDING 0.0072% → +0.07
  • 2026-10-07 16:00 UTC · LTC · FUNDING 0.0100% → +0.10
  • 2026-10-07 16:00 UTC · XRP · FUNDING -0.0010% → -0.01
  • 2026-10-07 08:00 UTC · ADA · FUNDING -0.0115% → -0.11
  • 2026-10-07 08:00 UTC · BNB · FUNDING 0.0000% → 0.00
  • 2026-10-07 08:00 UTC · DOGE · FUNDING -0.0093% → -0.09
  • 2026-10-07 08:00 UTC · LINK · FUNDING 0.0055% → +0.05
  • 2026-10-07 08:00 UTC · LTC · FUNDING 0.0066% → +0.06
  • 2026-10-07 08:00 UTC · XRP · FUNDING -0.0058% → -0.06
  • 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC · ADA · ENTER fees -1.70
  • 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC · BNB · ENTER fees -1.70
  • 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC · DOGE · ENTER fees -1.70
  • 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC · LINK · ENTER fees -1.70
  • 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC · LTC · ENTER fees -1.70
  • 2026-10-07 00:00 UTC · XRP · ENTER fees -1.70