CMI
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DecisionsWhat CMI took or skippedPaper tracksForward tests and their limitsFunding carryCarry monitor and paper bookStrategyEvery rule and its testResults recordPublic, hash-chained recordReviewCharts of past tradesSystem statusData health and latencyHow to read CMISignals, badges and R explainedAbout CMIHow it works
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TodaySignalsMarketsPortfolio
More
DecisionsWhat CMI took or skippedPaper tracksForward tests and their limitsFunding carryCarry monitor and paper bookStrategyEvery rule and its testResults recordPublic, hash-chained recordReviewCharts of past tradesSystem statusData health and latencyHow to read CMISignals, badges and R explainedAbout CMIHow it works
Theme
CMI

Tested trading rules, paper records and market intelligence for the most liquid crypto futures. CMI places no orders.

How to read CMIPrivacy

Risk disclosure. CMI publishes rule-based market information and trade plans. It is not investment advice and not a personal recommendation. Crypto futures are highly volatile; leverage magnifies losses and stops can fill at worse prices in fast markets. Signals marked paper preview come from rules still in their forward test. Past results do not predict future results. Trade only with money you can afford to lose.

Guide

How to read CMI

Five minutes to understand every signal, badge and number — and when doing nothing is the right call.
Your day with CMIA signal cardBadgesSize and RWhat to expectTrend radarHow rules are judgedWhen to skip

1Your day with CMI

  1. Morning: open Today

    The market mood, what CMI decided overnight and what is still open.

  2. On a signal: read the card

    Telegram sends at most two Daily Picks a day. Each is a complete plan with entry, stop and targets.

  3. Decide your size, then wait

    Size from your own risk amount. Most days have no signal — that is the rules working, not a fault.

2A signal card, line by line

🎯 Entry
The price to enter at, valid for a short window after the signal. Once it passes, the card says “Entry closed”.
🛑 Stop loss
Where the plan is wrong. Your loss on the trade is the distance from entry to here — decide it before you enter.
💰 TP 1 (close half)
Close half the position here. The stop then moves to your entry, so the rest can no longer turn into a loss.
💰 TP 2
Where the second half closes, or “Trailing stop”: it follows the trend until the trend breaks.
⚡ Leverage
The highest leverage that keeps liquidation beyond the stop with isolated margin. Lower is always fine.
⏳ Max duration
The trade closes at the market price if neither target nor stop is hit by then.

Below the numbers, Why this signal lists the conditions that triggered it and anything that argued against it.

3Badges you will see

  • Paper preview

    The rule is still in its forward test. Results are tracked on paper; it has not yet earned real money.

  • Replay · not sent live

    Found when CMI caught up after a restart. Shown for honesty, never sent, counted separately.

  • Entry closed

    The entry window has passed. Follow it to learn how the rule behaves — do not enter late.

  • TP1 = 2R

    The first target is twice the risk away from the entry.

4Position size and R

Size comes from your risk, not your leverage

Set the amount you accept to lose per trade — say $20. The card sizes the position so that hitting the stop loses about $20 (plus fees). Leverage only changes the margin you put up, not that loss.

R = results in units of risk

+2R means the trade made twice what was risked; −1R means the stop was hit. Results in R compare fairly across coins and account sizes. With $20 risk, +2R is about +$40.

5What to expect from the daily trend signals

36 %

winning trades

+1.7R

average winner

−0.7R

average loser

27

losses in a row, the longest run

Most trades lose a little; a few long trends pay for all of them.

In the test on 40 coins the rule was never developed on (682 trades, 2020–2026), the best 5 % of trades made more than all trades together — without them the rest lost. You cannot know in advance which signal will be the big one.

  • • Take every signal at the same small risk, or none — picking favourites tends to skip the trend that pays.
  • • Expect long losing streaks and losing years (2025–2026 lost on every coin set). Size so that 20+ losses in a row would not hurt you.
  • • Judge the rule over 100 trades, never over a week.

Historical test results after fees and funding, not a promise; the live record is on Paper tracks.

6The trend radar

  • DowntrendBelow its 100-day trend line. The trend rule takes no long trade.
  • UptrendAbove the trend line, still more than one typical daily move below its 20-day high.
  • Near breakoutWithin one typical daily move of its 20-day high. Telegram sends one heads-up.
  • BreakoutClosed above the 20-day high in an uptrend: the trend rule's entry is met.

The radar is information, not a signal. It shows where the next trend signal could come from — see it on Signals.

7How rules are judged

Every rule was tested on years of history before going live. Then it runs as a paper track with its pass mark and sample size fixed in advance — nobody adjusts the rule while it is being judged. Every decision, including skipped signals and losses, stays on the Decisions page and the results record.

8When to skip a signal

  • ⏭️The card says “Entry closed” — the plan's numbers no longer fit the price.
  • ⏭️You would have to risk more than you set, or use more leverage than shown.
  • ⏭️Big news is due within the hour (the coin page warns you).
  • ⏭️You already hold the coin or a closely related trade — correlated losses add up.
  • ⏭️You are tired, rushed or trying to win back a loss.

Skipping is never a mistake. Losing streaks happen to every rule; risk only what you can afford to lose, trade by trade.

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